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BELARUS RUSSIA

Minsk opposition keeps up connections with Moscow

The Belarusian opposition faction led by Valery Tsepkalo, Svetlana Tikhanovskaya's rival, is keeping in with Russian contacts who are ready and willing to back popular and political activism against Lukashenko. [...] (764 words)

Issue dated 02/05/2022 Reading time 4 minutes

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Government Intelligence

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Alexander Lebedev
Alexander Lukashenko
Alisher Usmanov
Charter 97
Dmitry Bolkunets
Dmitry Mazepin
KGB
MGIMO
Mikhaïl Gutseriev
Novaya Gazeta
Pavel Latushko
Roman Protasevich
Rostec
Ryanair
Sergey Chemezov
Slavkali
Svetlana Tikhanovskaya
Telegram Nexta
Uralchem
Uralkali
Valery Tsepkalo
Vladimir Putin

Belarus opposition in Warsaw disavowed by Kyiv

The alternative government set up by opponents to the Lukashenko regime is struggling to win the Ukrainian government's confidence. Its shadow defence minister is out of favour in Kyiv in the wake of a failed attempt to lead a battalion of volunteers. [...]

BELARUS 29/07/2022

Infighting tears apart Belarus opposition as Moscow, EU and US watch

Rival factions of the Belarusian opposition in exile have openly descended into infighting, accusing each other of collusion with foreign intelligence or even with the government in Minsk. Meanwhile, armed groups continue to plot the regime's downfall. [...]

BELARUS HONG KONG 20/07/2022

Sarmat Analytix, a newcomer to the political risk market in the post-Soviet space

Two Minsk-based veterans of the analysis of political and military dynamics in Eurasia are planning to open a consulting firm in Hong Kong. [...]

BELARUS 21/06/2022

Western intelligence services keeping close eye on growing threat of civil war in Belarus

The state of high tension prevailing in Minsk has pushed security services in the US, the UK, Turkey and Ukraine to prepare for the possibility of matters taking a military turn. Lukashenko's inner circle is preparing to face guerilla-style attacks, but armed opposition groups do not exclude launching a conventional offensive, with support from their allies. [...]

BELARUS UKRAINE 08/06/2022

Dissident militias involved in Ukraine conflict worry Minsk security chiefs

A group of Belarusian volunteers, Kalinovsky, is defending Ukrainian territory against Russian forces. Together with the Bypol organisation, it is also preparing for a new regime once Alexander Lukashenko is gone, in liaison with the Warsaw diaspora. [...]

RUSSIA 07/06/2022

Moscow steps up arms import-export controls

Dmitry Shugaev, who heads the Federal Service for Military-Technical Cooperation, is to see his responsibilities expanded. A protégé of current Rostec boss Sergey Chemezov, he has been tasked with strengthening operations to monitor the import and export of military equipment. [...]

Dmitry Shugaev, head of the Russian Federal Service for Military-Technical Cooperation.

BELARUS CANADA RUSSIA 26/05/2022

Sanctioned oligarch Dmitry Mazepin's potash interests threatened by his former North American allies

The sanctions and other measures imposed on Russia and Belarus by the West have created the conditions for a new round in the potash war between Russian, Canadian and Belarusian companies. After having been circumstantial allies, Nutrien and Uralkali are now fighting each other for control of the Belarusian potash industry. [...]

Belarusian-Russian businessman Dmitry Mazepin.

GERMANY KAZAKHSTAN 23/05/2022

The helmsmen of Germany's energy pivot to Central Asia

German projects' gradual abandonment of Russian partners is leading this business community's veterans to strengthen new networks essential to Germany's energy ambitions. [...]

Oliver Hermes, former president of the German Eastern Business Association and Michael Harms, its current director.

Spotlight

RUSSIA UKRAINE UNITED STATES 04/05/2022

Kyiv and Washington coordinate future sanctions against Moscow

A group of senior officials, lobbyists, academics, activists, investigators and communications experts are drawing up lists of potential targets for US sanctions against Russia, as well as promoting new international political reprisals. [...]

BELARUS 12/04/2022

Power-struggles cause turmoil in Minsk security circles

Smear campaigns, orchestrated leaks and a coup plot: with Belarus' role in the war in Ukraine in the balance, the country's political and security elite have been struggling to have President Alexander Lukashenko's ear and the support of the intelligence services. [...]

Spotlight

BELARUS 04/04/2022

Minsk securocrats team up with dissidents to paint a picture of occupation

In the darker recesses of government and among politically active exiles, a new initiative is taking shape: that Belarus should be viewed as Russian-occupied territory. [...]

BELARUS RUSSIA 23/02/2022

Belarusian potash also at stake in Ukraine crisis

Lithuania is increasingly worried about the possibility of Belarusian potassium chloride provider Belaruskali falling into Russian hands, having already had to accept that the fertiliser was no longer exported via its ports. The potash producer's Russian competitor Uralkali is keeping an eager eye on the situation. [...]

A Belaruskali potash mine in Soligorsk, Belarus.

BELARUS RUSSIA 20/07/2021

Set up email notifications for these topics

Alexander Lebedev
Alexander Lukashenko
Alisher Usmanov
Charter 97
Dmitry Bolkunets
Dmitry Mazepin
KGB
MGIMO
Mikhaïl Gutseriev
Novaya Gazeta
Pavel Latushko
Roman Protasevich
Rostec
Ryanair
Sergey Chemezov
Slavkali
Svetlana Tikhanovskaya
Telegram Nexta
Uralchem
Uralkali
Valery Tsepkalo
Vladimir Putin

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Minsk opposition keeps up connections with Moscow

This article may be accessed by subscribers and e-wallet holders (USD 12.50)

2 options offered to continue reading

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create a free account

Set up email notifications for these topics

Belarus opposition in Warsaw disavowed by Kyiv

Infighting tears apart Belarus opposition as Moscow, EU and US watch

Sarmat Analytix, a newcomer to the political risk market in the post-Soviet space

Western intelligence services keeping close eye on growing threat of civil war in Belarus

Dissident militias involved in Ukraine conflict worry Minsk security chiefs

Moscow steps up arms import-export controls

Sanctioned oligarch Dmitry Mazepin's potash interests threatened by his former North American allies

The helmsmen of Germany's energy pivot to Central Asia

Kyiv and Washington coordinate future sanctions against Moscow

Power-struggles cause turmoil in Minsk security circles

Minsk securocrats team up with dissidents to paint a picture of occupation

Belarusian potash also at stake in Ukraine crisis

Minsk and Moscow look to hold Dmitry Mazepin at arm's length

Dmitry Mazepin looking good in potash wars Free

Now a Lord, Lebedev junior changes inner circle

Rostec tightens screws on defence companies

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